Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.053190 0.062721 0.073389 0.086204 0.101170 0.118086 0.138649
2025-06-22 0.037886 0.050014 0.065104 0.085217 0.111276 0.143857 0.187646
2025-06-29 0.028622 0.041266 0.058350 0.083026 0.117655 0.164415 0.232236
2025-07-06 0.022391 0.034749 0.052631 0.080238 0.121615 0.181127 0.272988
2025-07-13 0.019075 0.031543 0.050677 0.081952 0.131530 0.206761 0.329164
2025-07-20 0.016309 0.028558 0.048379 0.082476 0.139305 0.229747 0.383937
2025-07-27 0.014154 0.026120 0.046444 0.083077 0.146976 0.253159 0.441987
2025-08-03 0.012519 0.024256 0.045103 0.084333 0.155687 0.279044 0.507048
2025-08-10 0.011368 0.023047 0.044673 0.087024 0.167095 0.310659 0.585601
2025-08-17 0.009675 0.020509 0.041408 0.083966 0.167527 0.322768 0.630514
2025-08-24 0.008575 0.018952 0.039750 0.083678 0.173014 0.344551 0.695647
2025-08-31 0.007552 0.017380 0.037816 0.082521 0.176558 0.362914 0.756176
2025-09-07 0.006936 0.016601 0.037433 0.084581 0.187050 0.396397 0.851379
2025-09-14 0.006140 0.015290 0.035734 0.083605 0.191097 0.417480 0.924110
2025-09-21 0.005370 0.013901 0.033647 0.081454 0.192277 0.432694 0.986292
2025-09-28 0.004669 0.012556 0.031451 0.078716 0.191738 0.444082 1.041447
2025-10-05 0.004327 0.012052 0.031157 0.080399 0.201545 0.479242 1.153440
2025-10-12 0.003957 0.011410 0.030429 0.080913 0.208636 0.509062 1.256697
2025-10-19 0.003631 0.010831 0.029771 0.081503 0.215973 0.540255 1.366749
2025-10-26 0.003369 0.010384 0.029385 0.082736 0.225069 0.576631 1.493386
2025-11-02 0.003191 0.010147 0.029525 0.085379 0.238122 0.624066 1.652542
2025-11-09 0.002810 0.009237 0.027688 0.082376 0.235922 0.633369 1.717142
2025-11-16 0.002570 0.008717 0.026867 0.082093 0.241018 0.661771 1.833983